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CR 90:77-94 (2023)  -  DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01718

Decade-to-decade variations in summer precipitation patterns in eastern China since the 1960s: roles of water vapor transport and sea surface temperature

Pengling Wang1, Chengyu Song2, Yanju Liu1,*, Guowei Yang1, Jing Wang3, Chunfeng Duan4, Yihui Ding1

1National Climate Centre, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, 10081, PR China
2Heilongjiang Climate Centre, Harbin, 150030, PR China
3Tianjin Key Laboratory for Oceanic Meteorology, and Tianjin Institute of Meteorological Science, Tianjin, 300074, PR China
4Anhui Climate Centre, Hefei, 230031, PR China
*Corresponding author:

ABSTRACT: Based on the observational precipitation data and multiple reanalysis datasets, this study analyzes the decade-to-decade spatiotemporal evolution of anomalous summer precipitation in eastern China (SPEC) for 1961-2019 and explores the roles of water vapor transport and global sea surface temperatures (SSTs). Results show that SPEC patterns in the last 60 yr were mainly classified into 3 categories: dipole (the 1960s and 1970s), tripole (the 1990s) and quadrupole (the 1980s and 2000s), with marked decade-to-decade variations. In the 2010s, the precipitation pattern exhibited a more complex nature. Obvious differences can be detected in the water vapor channels (WVCs) associated with the 3 SPEC patterns. Specifically, the dipole pattern of the SPEC was mainly related to the Pacific Ocean WVC (POW) and the westerly WVC (WW). The tripole pattern was mainly associated with the Tibetan Plateau Southern Side WVC (TPW), the South China Sea WVC, the POW and the WW. The quadrupole pattern was quite clearly correlated with the Indian Ocean WVC, the Bay of Bengal WVC, the TPW, the POW and the WW. Furthermore, the dipole SPEC pattern was correlated with the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), the Indian Ocean basin mode (IOBM) and the Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation. The tripole and quadrupole patterns were related to the IOBM and PDO, respectively. The PDO has a marked influence on the interdecadal shifting of the SPEC pattern in the late 1970s, favoring the formation of the quadrupole SPEC pattern. However, the decadal shifting of the SPEC pattern in the early 1990s is mainly influenced by the IOBM, which favored the formation of the tripole precipitation pattern.


KEY WORDS: Summer precipitation · Spatial distribution pattern · Decade-to-decade variation · Water vapor transport · Sea surface temperature anomaly · Eastern China


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Cite this article as: Wang P, Song C, Liu Y, Yang G, Wang J, Duan C, Ding Y (2023) Decade-to-decade variations in summer precipitation patterns in eastern China since the 1960s: roles of water vapor transport and sea surface temperature. Clim Res 90:77-94. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01718

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