Countrywide screening supports model-based predictions of the distribution of Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis in Ukraine
A recent species distribution model (SDM) for the amphibian-killing chytrid fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd) revealed that western Ukraine is highly suitable for the pathogen. Jakóbik et al. ground-truthed the SDM using qPCR on amphibian samples collected from across Ukraine. Infections were detected for 33 waterfrog Pelophylax sp. and fire-bellied toad Bombina sp. samples from 8 localities with significantly higher predicted Bd habitat suitability than sites that were pathogen-free. Infections were present in the western, forested peripheries of the country with a relatively cool, moist climate but not in the more continental central, southern, or eastern regions of Ukraine. These results corroborate the model-predicted distribution of chytrid fungus in Ukraine and suggest potential climatic refugia for Bd-susceptible amphibian hosts.