MEPS prepress abstract   -  DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/meps14643

ABSTRACT: Despite the ecological and social importance of reef fishes, data on their populations, habitat use, and other drivers are often scarce, which creates challenges for effective management. These challenges are particularly acute for rare or at-risk species such as Acanthurus achilles, a reef fish species with a documented population decline in recent years in Hawai‘i. We used a dataset of in-situ fish surveys from across the main Hawaiian Islands combined from multiple survey programs to quantify A. achilles presence and absence and applied generalized linear mixed-effects models to examine the relationships between presence of (1) all individuals, (2) juveniles, and (3) adults with 27 spatially continuous environmental and anthropogenic drivers to understand the main drivers of presence. Using the modeled relationships between presence and all drivers, we predicted the probability of A. achilles presence at a 100-meter scale within the 30-meter depth contour of the main Hawaiian Islands. Environmental drivers, especially habitat drivers such as depth and rugosity, emerged as significant drivers of A. achilles presence, while anthropogenic drivers like land-based pollution and fishing had fewer significant relationships with A. achilles presence. There was variation in the predicted probability of presence both between islands as well as within islands, with the highest probability of presence around Kaho‘olawe and Hawai‘i and the lowest around O‘ahu. Our modeling approach and high-resolution spatial predictions provide empirical evidence of the importance of environmental drivers in explaining A. achilles presence and identify preferred habitat at relevant scales for fisheries management.