MEPS prepress abstract   -  DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/meps14652

ABSTRACT: Macroalgal communities are essential to coastal ecosystems, yet increasing effects of global change and anthropogenic pressures are leading to their global decline. Investigating the long-term dynamics of these communities across different localities appears crucial to better understand their responses to such pressures, as our knowledge of spatial heterogeneities in macroalgal trajectories remains elusive. To fill this gap, the community trajectory analysis framework provides a set of innovative multivariate metrics to characterize and quantitatively compare the temporal dynamics of different communities. Using long-term monitoring data (2004–2022), this method was applied to intertidal macroalgal communities across 10 locations distributed over a more than 500 km of coastline in Brittany, France. Three distinct temporal dynamics were identified. High-shore communities exhibited minimal changes over time, while low-shore communities were characterized by a fluctuating understorey species composition but a general stability pattern. In contrast, the mid-shore community dominated by Ascophyllum nodosum underwent conspicuous changes in composition and structure. Further analysis of the latter community unveiled clear spatial patterns, with a significant deterioration of the structural state attributed to canopy loss in eastern Brittany, negatively impacting understorey species. This decline may ultimately lead to massive changes in coastal ecosystem functioning and services. This study emphasizes the importance of maintaining long-term ecological monitoring as well as the pertinence of the temporal trajectories methods to identify and understand community changes at various spatial scales.